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Israeli Poll shows dramatic increase in public support for
International involvement in the Israeli-Palestinian peace process

Date: 13.08.08
 
 
Poll, held in late July, shows a dramatic rise in the Israeli public's support for international involvement in the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, with 73% supporting increased U.S. involvement and 58% supporting increased European involvement. The poll also shows 75% of Israelis believe the current situation with no political progress is bad for Israel, half support the principles of the Geneva Accord, and one third still believe Olmert has the legitimacy to advance the political process.

August 2008

MarketWatch Israeli Public Opinion Poll:

 

The Sample:

  • The survey was held among a representative sample of 600 respondents across Israel, ages 18 and up (including new immigrant and Arab sectors, proportionally to their percentage in the population).
  • MarketWatch Research conducted the survey by phone, using a computerized polling system.
  • The survey was held on July 25th-25th, 2008.
  • The margin of error for a sample of 600 is 4.0% ±.

Findings

Are you for or against Israel conducting final status negotiations with the Palestinians? / conducting negotiations with Mahmoud Abbas?

For 60%
Against 35%
Undecided 5%


Are you for or against Israel conducting negotiations with Hamas?

For 43%
Against 55%
Undecided 3%


In your opinion, is Mahmoud Abbas a partner who should not be missed, or would it be better to wait for the next leader?

Should not be missed 47%
Wait for the next leader 35%
Undecided 17%


In your opinion, does Ehud Olmert have the legitimacy to advance negotiations now, or would it be better to wait for the next leader?

Has the legitimacy 34%
Wait for the next leader 59%
Undecided 7%


Do you or do you not believe a permanent status agreement can be reached with the Palestinians to end the conflict?

Believe 34%
Don't believe 62%
Undecided 4%


Would you support or oppose an agreement with the following articles (the Geneva Accord):

  • An almost complete withdrawal to the' 67 borders, excluding some settlement blocks, in return for which uninhabited areas will be handed over
  • Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem will be under Israeli sovereignty and Arab neighborhoods under Palestinian Sovereignty
  • The Jewish Quarter and the Wailing Wall in Jerusalem will be under Israeli sovereignty, the Temple Mount and Arab quarters in the Old City under Palestinian sovereignty
  • A demilitarized Palestinian state and the establishment of comprehensive security arrangements to protect Israel
  • The return of refugees to the Palestinian state and the limited admission of refugees into Israel based on Israel's exclusive judgment
  • A mutual announcement by Israel and the Palestinians on the end of conflict and end of all claims

Support 49%
Oppose 37%
Undecided 13%

Should the current situation continue with no political progress opposite the Palestinians, would it be good or bad for Israel in your opinion?

Good for Israel 19%
Bad for Israel 74%
Undecided 7%


Should Mahmoud Abbas and Hamas form a Palestinian unity government, would this increase, decrease, or have no effect on the chances of arriving at an agreement with the Palestinian?

Increase 27%
Decrease 30%
Have no effect 35%
Undecided 8%


If the current situation were to continue with no significant political progress, what do you think would happen?

Terrorism and acts of violence would increase 56%
There would be no change in the levels of terrorism and violence 31%
Terrorism and acts of violence would decrease 7%
Undecided 7%


If the current situation were to continue with no significant political progress, what do you think would happen in the balance of power between Hamas and Fatah?

Hamas would take over the West Bank 37%
There would be no change – Hamas would rule in Gaza and Fatah in the W. Bank 33%
Fatah and Abbas would regain control of Gaza 10%
Undecided 20%


There are those who claim that in a situation with no significant progress, Israel could turn into a binational state, meaning that the Palestinians would relinquish their demand for a state and instead demand to live in Israel as citizens. In such a situation, two nations would live within the borders of Israel. In your opinion, could a situation like this come about or not?

Could come about 26%
Could not come about 71%
Undecided 3%


Which situation do you view as preferable?

The establishment of a Palestinian state alongside Israel, meaning two states for two peoples 74%
The establishment of a binational state, meaning one state for two peoples 14%
Neither 9%
Undecided 3%


Do you support or oppose increasing U.S. involvement in the Israeli-Palestinian process?

August 05 July 08
Support 47% 73%
Oppose 45% 23%
Undecided 8% 4%

Support for increased U.S. involvement according to intended vote:

Meretz
Support 85%
Oppose 15%
Undecided 0%

Labor
Support 96%
Oppose 3%
Undecided 1%

Kadima
Support 91%
Oppose 9%
Undecided 0%

Likud
Support 75%
Oppose 18%
Undecided 6%

National Religious Party
Support 61%
Oppose 27%
Undecided 12%

Shas
Support 47%
Oppose 54%
Undecided 0%

 

Do you support or oppose increasing European involvement in the Israeli-Palestinian process?
January 07 July 08
Support 40% 58%
Oppose 53% 37%
Undecided 7% 5%

Support for increased European involvement according to intended vote:

Meretz
Support 73%
Oppose 11%
Undecided 16%

Labor
Support 97%
Oppose 10%
Undecided 3%

Kadima
Support 87%
Oppose 12%
Undecided 1%

Likud
Support 53%
Oppose 43%
Undecided 4%

National Religious Party
Support 25%
Oppose 70%
Undecided 5%

Shas
Support 54%
Oppose 40%
Undecided 6%