June 2007: Joint Palestinian-Israeli Public Opinion Poll Finds Majority of Palestinians and Israelis Support Permanent Agreement Leading to Two-State

June 2007: Joint Palestinian-Israeli Public Opinion Poll Finds Majority of Palestinians and Israelis Support Permanent Agreement Leading to Two-State Solution
Date: 28.06.07
Source: PSR - Survey Research Unit
Conducted by the Harry S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research in Ramallah.

The Harry S. Truman Research Institute for the Advancement of Peace at the Hebrew University of Jerusalem and the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research in Ramallah conducted a joint survey between June 12th and June 20th, 2007. Findings pertaining to final status negotiations are presented below:

  • A majority of 60% of Palestinians and 64% of Israelis support reaching a permanent agreement to all issues of the conflict, whereupon there would be mutual recognition of Israel as the state for the Jewish people and Palestine as the state for the Palestinian people. 38% and 30% respectively disagree.
  • 51% of Palestinians and 48% of Israelis believe a majority in their public supports such a proposal, while 37% and 36% respectively think the majority opposes it. Both publics are only partly aware of the majority support for such a step in the other side. Only 43% of Palestinians and 35% of Israelis think the other side public supports this step.
  • Given ongoing events, both publics are quite pessimistic regarding the chances for such a mutual recognition (marking support in a two state solution) to materialize. Only 26% of Palestinians and 39% of Israelis believe there are medium or high chances that a Palestinian State will be established in the next five years. 70% of Palestinians and 59% of Israelis believe these chances are nil or low.
  • Israelis and Palestinians do not hold high hopes for the resumption of negotiations. Only 17% of Palestinians and 9% of Israelis believe negotiations will resume soon enough and armed conflict will stop. 34% of Palestinians and 38% of Israelis think negotiations will resume but some armed attacks will continue. 41% of Palestinians and 51% of Israelis believe armed confrontations will not stop and the sides will not return to negotiations.
  • 40% of Israelis support and 57% oppose the release of Marwan Barghouti from prison and negotiations with him in order to reach a compromise agreement with the PA.
  • 60% of Israelis support negotiations with Mahmoud Abbas over a final status settlement.
  • Nonetheless, only 42% of Israelis believe it is possible to reach a compromise settlement between Olmert and Abbas at the present time. In December 2006, 46% believed so.
  • Similarly, 50% of Israelis support and 46% oppose negotiations with a Palestinian national unity government which includes Hamas to reach an agreement. In March 2007, 33% believed this is possible. This drop in Israelis’ optimism regarding the chances to reach an agreement between the two leaderships is likely a reaction of Israelis to the leadership crisis in the PA, following the recent events in Gaza.
  • 31% of Palestinians believe it is possible and 65% think it is impossible to reach a compromise settlement with the current Israeli leadership.
  • 36% of Israelis and 66% of Palestinians support the Arab League (Saudi) Initiative compared to 59% and 31% respectively who oppose it.
  • When reference to the issue of refugees was framed in terms of the Clinton parameters, support for the Saudi Initiative decreased among Palestinians and slightly increased among Israelis. Under this framing 46% of Palestinians and 39% of Israelis support the initiative while 49% and 52% respectively oppose it.