Majority of Likud voters believe Gaza War should be followed by an Israeli Peace Initiative leading to a two-state solution

The Geneva Initiative conducted a poll in mid-September, showing that 53% of Likud voters and 58% of the general public believe that in light of the reality after the Gaza conflict, Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu should embark on a peace initiative that would lead to a two-state solution.

 

 
The poll, conducted for the Geneva Initiative by the New Wave Research Institute in mid-September, additionally shows that only 33% percent of the respondents oppose such an initiative and 9% responded that they did not have a clear opinion on the matter.
 
Two-thirds of the Israeli public (66%) believes that if a peace agreement is not reached in the next few years, a violent conflict will erupt between Israel and the Palestinians. This view is especially predominant amongst young Israelis: 85% of Israelis aged 18-24 believe that violent conflict is the most likely scenario. 11% of Israelis believe that the most probable scenario in the absence of a peace agreement is a major step towards a one-state reality; only 8% believe that the Palestinians would waive their demand for an independent state and accept the status quo; and 15% responded that they do not have a clear opinion.
 
In addition, over two-thirds of the public (67%) believe that the lack of progress in negotiations with the Palestinians is bad for Israel, compared to only a fifth of the public (22%) who believe that the status-quo is good for Israel. 11% responded that they do not have a clear opinion.
 
When asked for their opinion regarding investment by the government in the settlements as compared to other areas in Israel, 41% of Israelis responded that they believe the investment is too big, compared to only 16% who believe that it is too small. 26% said that they find the investment appropriate, and 16% stated that they do not have a clear opinion on the matter.
 
The participants in the poll were asked about the key principles of the Geneva Initiative: an Israeli withdrawal to the 1967 borders with land swaps and the settlement blocks remaining in Israel, the partition of eastern Jerusalem (including the relinquishing of sovereignty over the Temple Mount), a symbolic number of Palestinian refugees to be admitted to Israel and the demilitarization of Palestine under strict security arrangements.
 
While a majority of respondents opposed most of the individual principles, a plurality supported the package as a whole (46% supporting, 33% opposing and 20% without a clear opinion).
 
The poll was conducted amongst a representative group of 600 Israelis, aged 18 and above. The margin of error is 4%. The poll was funded by the European Union.
 
 
The full findings of the poll:
Do you support or oppose Israel conducting negotiations for a peace agreement with Mahmoud Abbas?
56%- support
34%- oppose
10%- No opinion
 
Is the continuation of the status-quo, with the lack of negotiations with the Palestinians, good or bad for Israel?
22%- good
67%- bad
11%- no opinion
 
I will now read to you in detail the specifics of the Geneva Initiative proposal for an agreement with Mahmoud Abbas regarding the West Bank area, with the possibility of the agreement expanding to the Gaza Strip, in the event the Hamas were to recognize the agreement and wish to join it.
 
1. An almost-complete withdrawal to the 1967 borders, with the exception of several settlement blocks which will be swapped for unpopulated territories.
2. Jewish neighborhoods in East Jerusalem will be under Israeli sovereignty, and Arab neighborhoods under Palestinian sovereignty.
3. The Jewish quarter and the Western Wall in Jerusalem will remain Israeli. The Temple Mount, the mosques and the Arab quarters in the old city will be Palestinian.
4. A demilitarized Palestinian state with extensive security arrangements to ensure the safety of Israel's citizens
5. Refugees will return to the Palestinian state, a symbolic number of Palestinian refugees will be admitted to Israel, based on the sole decision of Israel
6. A mutual announcement by Israel and the Palestinians on the end of the conflict and the lack of any further claims
 
Assuming that an agreement which includes all of the points mentioned above is reached, would you support it or oppose it?
13%- highly oppose
20%- oppose
38%- support
8%- highly support
14%- still debating the matter
6%- do not have a clear opinion
 
 
In light of the reality after the Gaza conflict, should Israeli Prime Minister Netanyahu embark on a peace initiative that would lead to a two-state solution?
58% - Yes
33% - No
9% - Don't know
 
If in the next couple of years a peace agreement is not reached between Israel and the
Palestinians, what do you see as the most probable scenario?
66%- A violent conflict between Israel and the Palestinians
11%- A major advancement towards a one-state reality
8%- The Palestinians will waive their demand for an independent state and accept the status quo.
5%- other
10%- do not have a clear opinion
 
Compared to other areas in Israel, do you find the government's financial investment in the settlements to be?
41%- too big
16%- too small
26%- proportionate
16%- do not have a clear opinion