Palestinian Public Opinion Poll, December 2011

This survey was conducted by the Palestinian Center for Policy and Survey Research (PSR) in the West Bank and Gaza Strip between 15-17 December 2011, and with support from Konrad Adenauer Stiftung in Ramallah 

This poll covers Palestinian attitudes regarding the prisoner exchange deal, reconciliation with Hamas, the performance of the governments of Salam Fayyad and Ismail Haniyeh, and the views of the public on the most vital Palestinian goals. To view the full details of the poll, click here


Main Findings 

Hamas-Israel Prisoner Exchange Deal 

Hamas has won the confidence and respect of the public in the aftermath of the prisoner deal with Israel. About three quarters believe that Hamas came out winning from the deal more than Israel.

37% say their support for Hamas has increased after the exchange deal while 50% say their support did not change.

Presidency and Legislative Elections

If new presidential elections were held today, and only two were nominated, Abbas would receive the vote of 55% and Haniyeh 37% of the vote of those participating. The rate of participation in such elections would reach 64%. In the Gaza Strip, Abbas receives 54% and Haniyeh 42% and in the West Bank Abbas receives 56% and Haniyeh 33%. These results indicate a decrease in Abbas' popularity and an increase in Haniyeh's compared to the situation three months ago when Abbas received the support of 59% and Haniyeh 34% 

Reconciliation 

Following the meeting between President Abbas and Khalid Mish'al, 50% believe Fatah and Hamas will succeed in implementing the reconciliation agreement and reunify the West bank and the Gaza Strip, while 46% believe they will not succeed. 

43% expect that electiosn fo rthe president and the parliament will be held in May 2012 or a little after that, while 47% believe elections will not be held around that time. 

If a governement of reconciliation or experts is formed soon, 72% expect that the US government will punish the PA by suspending financial support. A large percentage, 80%, believes that Israel too would suspend transfer of custom money to the PA. 

Palestinian goals and main problems 

48% believe that the first most vital Palestinian goal should be to end Israeli occupation in the areas occupied in 1967 and build a Palestinain state in the West Bank and Gaza Strip with East Jerusalem as its capital. In contrast, 30% believe the first most vial goal should be to obtain the right of return of refugees to their 1948 towns and villages. 

Three months ago, at the peak of Palestinian UN statehood bid, 59% viewed statehood within the 1967 borders as the most vital goal. 

To view the full details of the poll, click here