TIP Poll: Palestinians are open to new actions that help peace and are supportive of current negotiations

02.11.2010

The following are partial findings of a Palestinian public opinion poll and focus groups commissioned by TIP (The Israel Project) during October 2010. The poll was conducted by Greenberg, Quinlan, Rosner reseach on 1708 respondents from Gaza and the West Bank. Full results are available here.
 

Palestinian thinking: positive developments
  • Hostility toward Hamas and Iran: Palestinians increasingly disapprove of Hamas and blame for Gaza situation; also even more negative views of Iran and Ahmedinejad, responsible for impasse and Gaza conditions.
  • Diverse social focus and normal demands on PA: Palestinians look toward improving the standard of living; priorities spread over economy, healthcare, education, and institution building.
  • Positive ratings for leadership and governance: Abbas and Fayyad get high approval ratings and Fatah’s vote share up. Fatah in position to win elections.
  • Open to new actions that help peace: Majorities support teaching coexistence, not naming streets after some martyrs, and putting pressure on Hamas to end the firing of rockets from Gaza.
  • Supportive of current negotiations: Support current negotiations and surprising optimistic that a peace agreement is possible.
     
Palestinian thinking: negative developments
  • Desire for Sharia Law rather than Civil Law: A large majority supports a Palestinian state government by Sharia – rather than Civil – Law.
  • Armed struggle not abandoned or transcended yet: A large majority continues to support “armed struggle” – either now or in the future – and declines to say violence no longer an option because only harms Palestinians. While the mood in the focus groups did not favor a return to the intifada, it is clearly not ruled out.
  • Support for two-state solution is highly qualified: While 60 percent support for two state solution – only half that supports a two state as the final arrangement. For many, support for two-state is a stage in the process for one Palestinian state.
  • Support for an actual agreement modest: Only about 30 percent support an agreement like the Clinton parameters, once you give it a fuller description, including dividing Jerusalem and land swaps. There is work to do.
     
Opening to shift opinion
  • Can build majority support for the Palestinian Authority recognizing a Jewish state – when one is clear about 1) building independent Palestinian institutions and 2) recognizing a border between the two states.
  • Palestinian public open to Palestinian leaders making compromises to achieving a better life.